太田述正コラム#4527(2011.1.29)
<皆さんとディスカッション(続x1090)>

<太田>(ツイッターより)

 (コラム#4525に関し)日本には2大政党制の社会的基盤がないと言ってきたけど、若者党と老人党・・失礼、壮年党・・の2大政党制は可能なのかもね。
 だけど、若者が無気力で政治嫌いじゃ政党ができるわけもないか。
 ウー閉塞状況である。

 (コラム#4314に関し)イギリスと日本が16世紀から18世紀のわずか200年間にどれだけ未開を脱し進歩したかを考えると人類の未来に希望が持てる。
 支那が未開を脱し始めてから20世紀の最後の4半世紀プラスαしか経過していない。
 希望を持とう。

<ΥΔΥΔ>(「たった一人の反乱」より)

 何でこの人達は保全隊が来てるって分かったのでしょう?
http://sankei.jp.msn.com/politics/news/110126/plc11012622020162-n1.htm

 内部からのリーク何でしょうか?
 まあ有望な幹部隊員を1年間研修で受け入れる産経だからシンパを作るのは容易なんでしょうけど。
 田母神氏の講演の主催者に「産経新聞を応援する会」ってあったんだけどどんな人達なんだろう?
 とにかく現役隊員を政争に巻き込まないでほしいんですがねえ・・・。

<ΥΔΔΥ>(同上)

 とうとう、太田信者の大好きなガーディアン紙までが猿の仕草問題を採り上げたよーん。
http://www.guardian.co.uk/football/2011/jan/28/ki-sung-yeung-monkey-face?INTCMP=SRCH

<ΔΥΔΥ>(同上)

http://www.mherrera.org/freedom.htm

    独裁度 人権抑圧度    
北朝鮮   7  7
ソマリア  7  7
リビア   7  7 
エリトリア 7  7

中 国   7  6

エジプト  6  6
チュニジア 6  6
イエメン  6  6

台湾、韓国 2  2

<太田>

 それでは、まず、エジプト騒擾特集からです。

 プライベートな話とない交ぜにして申し訳ないが、私のカイロ時代に住んでた所のイメージが掴めるので、この衛星写真をぜひ見ていただきたい。↓
http://www.nytimes.com/packages/flash/newsgraphics/2011/0128-cairo-map/index.html?hp

 この写真には収まり切れてないけど、左の下(南)にギザのピラミッド群がある。
 さて、ナイル川の島が二つ見える↑だろうが、上(北)の方のがザマレック島で、その島の北の方に斜めに横切っている大通りが見えるでしょ。
 その大通りの北部の真ん中あたりのマンションに私は住んでたんです。
 この大通りの南に大きな公園らしいものが見えると思うけど、October 6 Bridgeのマークをクリックしてズームを引いてもらうと、ザマレック島のスポーティングクラブのプールが見えてくる。このプール(の前身?)で私は、夏場、毎日のように泳いでいました。
 マークがついてる所が、カイロでの騒擾のホットスポットですが、私が住んでた所、ほぼカイロの中心だって分かるでしょ。

 <ムバラクが閣僚の総とっかえを言明したが、こんなものでは騒擾はおさまらない。↓>
 In a late-night TV address, Mubarak refused to relinquish power, but dismissed his government, promising a new administration to tackle unemployment and promote democracy.
 But his call for stability appeared to cut little ice with many protesters, who surged on to the streets as soon as he finished speaking, defying a curfew.・・・
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/jan/28/egypt-protesters-tanks-cairo
 <警察は群衆に圧倒されている。カギは軍の動向(後出)。↓>
 ・・・The crowds fought with their bodies and stones until the police gave up. ・・・A few hours ago, everyone was saying: Now, the army will come. But it is no longer clear on whose side the army will intervene. ・・・
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2011/01/28/AR2011012804704_pf.html
 <これまでずっとムバラクを支援してきた米国にも責任がある。↓>
 ・・・the US needs a friendly government in Cairo more than it needs a democratic one. Whether the issue is Israel-Palestine, Hamas and Gaza, Lebanon, Iran, security for Gulf oil supplies, Sudan, or the spread of Islamist fundamentalist ideas, Washington wants Egypt, the Arab world's most populous and influential country, in its corner. That's the political and geostrategic bottom line. In this sense, Egypt's demonstrators are not just fighting the regime. They are fighting Washington, too.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/cifamerica/2011/jan/28/obama-clinton-wobble-egypt-mubarak
 <非暴力的な騒擾も、次第に暴力的に。だけど、ここには引用しなかったが、その後、警察と騒擾者達が各所で「和解」している。いかにも穏和なエジプト人の世界だ。↓>
 ・・・the protesters continued to surge toward downtown Cairo and, after dark, began setting fire to police vehicles and government buildings, as well as the headquarters of the ruling National Democratic Party.
 Until then, the protesters had largely refrained from initiating violence, choosing instead to chant slogans and wave the Egyptian flag.・・・
 <騒擾に参加している外務省職員の声を聞け。↓>
 "All the Egyptian people are oppressed, and their time has come. Enough is enough," said a man who identified himself as a diplomat with the nation's foreign ministry, but would only give his first name, Ahmed. "I know Egyptians, and they will not stop until Mubarak is gone."
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2011/01/28/AR2011012806404_pf.html
 <大卒の一小市民が不正義の下で生きるより尊厳の死をと語る。↓>
 ・・・Dandarwi was raised in a poor farming village, and was the first in his family to go to college. For decades, Egypt provided him with opportunities for advancement.
 But he said the stagnant economy and the rigid social structure have left his three children with none of the chances to climb that he had.
 On Friday, he expects to be on the streets, and he said that his college-age son will be with him, no matter how severe the consequences. "I worry about him, sure, because I'm a father," Dandarwi said. "But I prefer that a human being die with dignity rather than live with injustice." ・・・
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2011/01/27/AR2011012705713_pf.html
 <やはり騒擾に参加しているカイロ大学教授、騒擾に参加しなかった若き日の自分の怯懦を悔い二度と同じ過ちをくり返さぬと語る。うー、泣けるじゃないか。↓>
 ・・・"I missed my chance to revolt when I was a young man," said Dr Gihad El Nahary, a 52-year-old professor at Cairo University. "I am not going to make the same mistake now."・・・
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2011/jan/28/egypt-cairo-protesters-defy-curfew-elbaradei-mubarak
 <チュニジアの軍は、フランスの生徒たるベン・アリによって、ナポレオン流に、強い警察に圧倒され権力中枢から遠ざけられてきたこともあって、体制に与しなかった。↓>
 ・・・Ben Ali, himself a former interior minister, followed a French model of keeping the ministries of interior and defense at a distance from one another -- and the military far from himself. It's the same system Napoleon used to forestall army coups d'état・・・
 He also kept the military weak. Tunisia's army is only 27,000 strong; the navy has no deep-water ships. Some analysts say the air force has as few as 12 working helicopters.・・・
http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/01/28/just_whose_side_are_arab_armies_on_anyway?page=full
 <これに対し、歴代大統領を輩出し、優遇されてきたエジプト軍は事情が全く異なるが、民衆の親軍感情と米国の意向をフイにすることは困難なだけに、体制に与するとは限らない。↓>
 ・・・The army commands broad respect in Egypt. Demonstrators cheered on Friday as tanks deployed in front of government buildings・・・
 It is one thing to protect government buildings from looters, but something else to tarnish the reputation of the army by killing citizens,・・・
 Such action could also damage the military’s relationship with the United States, which may give the generals pause. The United States has provided about $35 billion in military aid to Egypt since it made peace with Israel in 1978. Robert Gibbs, President Obama’s spokesman, said that aid to Egypt, now $1.3 billion a year, would come under review should the violence continue. ・・・
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/01/29/world/middleeast/29forces.html?hp=&pagewanted=print

 私の結論。
 軍は騒擾者達を銃撃することはなく、エジプト「革命」は成功し、ムバラクは失権するだろう。

 その他の記事です。
 属国日本、何も「悪いこと」ができなかっただけに、人気が高いのね。
 中共当局が妬いてるぜ。↓

 「・・・タイム誌は56カ国に住む12万人を対象にアンケートを実施し、世界の主要20カ国の国際イメージをランク付けした。トップは日本で77点を獲得。以下、ドイツ(72点)、シンガポール(71点)、米国(64点)の順で、中国は62点を獲得して第5位だった。日本は2007年から4年連続で第1位だった。・・・」
http://news.livedoor.com/article/detail/5303336/

 中共経済がこのまま順調に伸びていくワケがない、という新たな、しかも結構説得力のある主張がなされていたよ。↓

 ・・・<Chinese financial> markets cannot be used as the means to allocate scarce resources and drive economic development. This role belongs to the Party which, to achieve its own ends, actively manipulates both the stock and debt markets.・・・
 The consequence of this uneven embrace of market-makers? Capital deployment is likely chronic overcapacity in certain key industries, and likely excessive infrastructure building - both of which are problems that could soon become evident. ・・・
 Acknowledging the underlying demographics which will continue to power China forward, the authors of Red Capitalism write, "Given China's geographical size and huge population, it is unlikely that its economy will grind to a halt in the way Japan's did after its magnificent run in the 1980s."・・・
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/China/MA29Ad03.html
 ・・・China's current view of the market and the role of politics in dictating market policies goes back to the very hierarchal Chinese culture. ・・・
 ・・・the financial system in China is still very closed off; the banking system is still dominated by state-owned banks. You have 1.3 billion Chinese saving and putting money into these banks, with very few alternatives. The banks redirect this money and waste it on a lot of underperforming SOEs, which allows government, industry, and the banks to operate inefficiently. ・・・
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/China/MA29Ad04.html

 南北戦争後の米国の黒人差別に果たした米最高裁の役割を指弾する書が出た。↓

 In the years immediately following the Civil War, America appeared to possess the will and the means to end racial segregation and give the same rights enjoyed by whites to its 4 million recently freed black slaves. These noble goals, of course, were not achieved for another century. During the intervening decades, the South saw the rise of Jim Crow and Judge Lynch. In "Inherently Unequal," constitutional scholar Lawrence Goldstone convincingly lays the blame for this tragedy at the door of the institution that could have made the difference but did not: the United States Supreme Court.・・・
 For most Americans, Goldstone asserts, the Civil War was fought not to liberate the slaves but to save the union. Just as important, the Republican Party was drifting away from its Lincolnesque roots and into the arms of big business, which was agnostic about the plight of defenseless blacks down South.
 Social Darwinism also exerted a baleful influence. As articulated by British philosopher Herbert Spencer, this view maintained that wealth provided not just the means by which the fittest survived but evidence of their very fitness. A corollary held that impoverishment was proof of unfitness. A majority of the prosperous men from whose ranks Supreme Court justices were drawn accepted the theory, and few groups were as impoverished as American blacks.
 Little wonder that by the 1880s, the Supreme Court was consistently ruling against black plaintiffs.・・・
http://www.latimes.com/entertainment/news/la-ca-lawrence-goldstone-20110130,0,347368,print.story

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 一人題名のない音楽会です。

 本日からはスペイン音楽特集です。

 一回目はクラシックギター音楽の泰斗、フランシスコ・タレガ(Francisco Tarrega。1852〜1909年)
http://ja.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E3%83%95%E3%83%A9%E3%83%B3%E3%82%B7%E3%82%B9%E3%82%B3%E3%83%BB%E3%82%BF%E3%83%AC%E3%82%AC
をとりあげます。
 ギターがかくも多彩な音色を奏でることに改めて驚嘆。
 それでは、夢の世界にどうぞ。

アルハンブラの思い出(Recuerdos de la Alhambra) ギター:イエペス(コラム#3448で村治佳織による演奏をご紹介しました。)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RLHR8zaEsA8&feature=related
アラブ風奇想曲(Capricho Arabe) イエペスとJulian Breamの一騎打ち→前者の勝ち。
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UBzTRR7Qv2w&feature=related
グラン・ホタ(Gran Jota) Li Jie
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hJfigIzhIls&feature=related
Gran Vals ?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hsp6dR-fL4A&feature=related
涙(Lágrima) Cesar Amaro この曲、ユーチューブ上のどの演奏もイマイチです。
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mlrj7mNKuYE&feature=related
Adelita, Mazurka, Marieta Daekun Jang。彼の曲想のとらえ方は素晴らしい。
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HNsjzzBQVqI&feature=related
前奏曲(Prelude) 同上
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_b5EhuVCx9I&feature=related
イ長調の研究(Study in A Major) Julian Bream
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vjlUKQ3Yb9I&feature=related
Estudio Brillante Christopher Parkening
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MwjlHMjgqNk&feature=related
マリア(ガヴォット)(Maria(gavotta)  Rick Graham
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FV9UgzWFbnI&feature=related
マリア(タンゴ)(Maria(Tango)) ?(Gran Valsの奏者と同じ)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?fmt=18&gl=IT&hl=it&v=mvpPeoV7HOM
ヴェニスの謝肉祭による変奏曲(Carnival of Venice) Emmanuel Rossfelder
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GmF0FcazbFc

(続く)
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太田述正コラム#4528(2011.1.29)
<日英同盟をめぐって(その1)>

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