＜べじたん＞

≫なまじ憲法改正が現実化して、おかしな制限付きの自衛権が条文に明記されるようなことがあれば、それこそ、後世に禍根を残すと思わないかい。≪（コラム#3500。太田）

　小林節氏（#2156）の改正案で、「おかしな制限付きの自衛権」があれば、教えてください。

　「小林先生が９条の改正私案を提案されていますが、この考え方は、今も同じでしょうか？引用しておきますと、

第１項
侵略戦争を放棄する。ただし、自衛戦争は放棄しない。つまり、自衛権の保持を宣明する。加えて、国際責任から逃げないことも明記する。つまり、国連からの正式な要請があった場合には、国際社会の治安維持のための国際警察活動に参加する用意があることも宣明する。
第２項
前項の目的を達するために、自衛軍を保持することを宣明する。
第３項
国民の中には、宗教的信条等により戦争（軍事活動）に参加することを忌避する者もいるので、国民の人権の一種として、良心的兵役拒否権を明文で保障する。 」
http://www.magazine9.jp/taidan/003/index02.php

　小林教授は、法的教養の無いバカが憲法をいじるな、ってスタンスのようです。
http://www.magazine9.jp/taidan/003/index.php

＜太田＞

　こういう改正案なら問題はありません。
　前にも書いたことがあると思いますが、私は、憲法第９条第２項を削除するだけでもかまわない、という意見です。

＜べじたん＞

　--自民党総裁選--

　「自民党総裁選に立候補している河野太郎衆院議員は19日の日本記者クラブ主催の討論会で「自民党が再生できなければ、健全な二大政党の一つに自民党がならないので、その時、何らかのことを考えることはあり得る」と述べ、自民党再生が不可能と判断した場合、離党も視野に対応することを示唆した。」
http://www.jiji.com/jc/c?g=pol_30&k=2009091900270

　マイナーなニュースで今一盛り上がりに欠ける総裁選ですが、河野氏の離党のニュアンスは本気ではなく、ブラフでしょうかね。
　でも、自民党が内部分裂・・若手中堅が離党して、老人会化したら、面白そうです。

　なければ作ろうかと思った民主と自民の衆院議員年齢分布比較↓
http://moribin.blog114.fc2.com/blog-entry-607.html

＜太田＞

　必ずしもブラフじゃないでしょう。
　いずれにせよ、自民党が壊滅に向かっている、という私の考えを現時点では改める必要はなさそうです。

　それでは記事の紹介です。
　安全保障に係る、読ませる記事が何本もありました。

　米空軍の最新動向が簡潔かつ的確に紹介されています。↓

　・・・From 1947 to 1982, all 10 generals who served as Air Force chief of staff were bomber pilots. From 1982 until last year, all nine generals who occupied that position were fighter pilots. In 2008, a new era in warfare was beginning, and Secretary Gates asked President Bush to appoint a different kind of chief of staff: Gen. Norton Schwartz. He came up through the ranks flying neither bombers nor fighters but C-130s, the bulky cargo planes that haul troops, weapons, and supplies from bases and supply depots to the battlefront. "Airlift," as this duty is called, is a vital mission; the Army, Marines, and Special Forces couldn't mobilize swiftly without it. But it's unglamorous. The Air Force brass had never valued it as highly as missions that involve fast combat planes or bombing targets deep behind enemy lines--until now.
　Just as the Vietnam War paved the way for the rise of the fighter pilot--before then, much higher status was given to pilots of nuclear bombers--the Iraq and Afghanistan wars are demanding a new Air Force culture. ・・・
　Iraq and Afghanistan are very different wars from the war the F-22 Raptor was designed to fight. ・・・
　・・・two things　＜found to be critical＞: first, airlifting supplies (General Schwartz's specialty); second, helping the troops find and kill bad guys.
　For this second mission, the Air Force has been relying more and more on unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) with names like Predator, Reaper, Global Hawk, and Warrior Alpha. Joystick pilots located halfway around the world operate these ghost planes.・・・
　But senior Air Force officers, including the chief of staff at the time, Gen. T. Michael Moseley, didn't seem motivated to put the UAVs into action over Iraq.・・・
　There was a big resistance to unmanned systems within the Air Force because they're not very sexy. The attitude was 'Airplanes without pilots in them? That's not what we're about!' " (A half century ago, Gen. Curtis LeMay, the first head of the Strategic Air Command, opposed development of the intercontinental ballistic missile, which he feared would supplant the long-range bomber. He didn't want the Air Force to become, he said, "the silent silo-sitters of the '60s.")・・・
　This year, the Air Force will train more joystick pilots than new fighter and bomber pilots.・・・
　・・・a lot of the generals in the coming decades may be UAV joystick pilots. ・・・
　The F-35--a smaller, cheaper plane, which Gates wants to buy in large quantity--is not quite as good as the F-22 in shooting down planes but much better at destroying surface-to-air missile batteries.・・・
http://www.newsweek.com/id/215825

　要するに、わが航空自衛隊においても、次期戦闘機はF35でよろしいし、輸送機部隊が重要であって、今後はドローンの整備を重視せよ、ということです。

　対ヒズボラ戦でも対ハマス戦でもイスラエルは戦争目的を達成した、ということが明確に書かれています。↓

　・・・ Israel's invasion of the Gaza Strip・・・ Operation Cast Lead, as the three-week operation is known in Israel, is generally regarded by the country's military and political elite as a success.・・・
　Israel's satisfaction starts with a simple set of facts. Between April 2001 and the end of 2008, 4,246 rockets and 4,180 mortar shells were fired into Israel from Gaza, killing 14 Israelis, wounding more than 400 and making life in southern Israel intolerable. During what was supposed to be a cease-fire during the last half of 2008, 362 rockets and shells landed. Meanwhile, between late 2000 and the end of 2008, Israeli forces killed some 3,000 Gazans.
　Since April there have been just over two dozen rocket and mortar strikes -- or less than on many single days before the war. No one has been seriously injured, and life in the Israeli town of Sderot and the area around it has returned almost to normal. Israeli attacks in Gaza have almost ceased, too: Since the end of the mini-war, 29 Palestinians, two of whom were civilians, have been killed by Israeli action. ・・・
　The point, however, is that Israel has bought itself a stretch of relative peace with Hamas, just as its costly 2006 invasion of Lebanon has produced three years of quiet on that front. From the Israeli perspective, a respite from conflict is the most that can be expected from either group -- or from their mutual sponsor, Iran. ・・・
　Perhaps most significant, Hamas's rival for Palestinian leadership, the West Bank-based Palestinian Authority, is considerably stronger than it was before the war.・・・
　The Gaza invasion was the second military operation Israel embarked on in less than 18 months despite disapproval from Washington. The other was its bombing of a nuclear reactor under construction in Syria in September 2007. ・・・
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/09/20/AR2009092001295_pf.html　

　ヒズボラ、シリアの核施設、そしてハマスに対して敢行したように、そう遠くない将来、イランの核施設に向けて、イスラエルは武力攻撃を敢行することでしょう。
　「地元」のイスラエルと米国との間に地域的脅威の認識について温度差があるところ、ことごとく、米国の意向に真っ向から反してね・・。　
　同じように、北朝鮮の「脅威」に対して、「地元」の日本と宗主国米国との認識に温度差があるのは当たり前です。
　しかし、日本の属国たるゆえんは、イスラエルと違って、武力行使に関して、日本は米国よりもはるかに「慎重」だという点にあります。

　オバマ政権の欧州でのミサイル防衛システムの見直しは、限られた資源の中で、前方展開している米軍の安全を、米本土の一般住民の安全よりも優先したからだ、という記事が出ました。↓

　・・・Last week, after a lengthy internal Pentagon review and against the backdrop of new limits on overall military spending, the generals again threw their weight behind a relative contraction of the effort to defend against long-range missile attacks. They cited needed budgetary savings and more immediate threats in demanding faster work to protect overseas forces and bases against shorter-range attack.
The latest shift shelved a plan to deploy in Europe an advanced radar and interceptors of long-range missiles by 2017. And it adds impetus to the Pentagon's request earlier this year for a cut of about 15 percent in overall missile defense spending, a scaling back of the deployment of long-range missile interceptors in Alaska and California, and the cancellation of three costly Reagan-era missile defense programs that officials say had threatened to balloon out of budgetary control. ・・・
　・・・last week's announcement is clearly another step in a steady evolution of the $125 billion program's central focus from President Ronald Reagan's grand vision of a national shield, popularly known as Star Wars, to a more limited defense of U.S. assets in foreign theaters. ・・・
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/09/20/AR2009092002532_pf.html

　私の、「テポドン狂騒曲」シリーズでの指摘・・前回の北朝鮮のテポドン試射時の自衛隊PAC3の展開配備は米軍部隊/施設防御のため・・の正しさが、ここでも裏付けられたのではないでしょうか。
　それは同時に、PAC3の整備は、在日米軍基地防御以上まで手を広げるべきものではないことも意味します。

　ミサイル防衛システムの最初の発想・・レーガンのスターウォーズ計画・・に対し、ゴルバチョフがどう対応したか・・より正確には対応しなかったか・・についての興味深い記事↓も出てました。
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/09/20/AR2009092002189_pf.html

　先の大戦中から直後にかけて大流行した英国の歌手ヴェラ・リン（Vera Lynn）のリバイバルが英国のヒットチャートのトップテン入りをして話題になっています。
　記事↓中に出てくる歌のユーチューブURLを挿入したので、関心ある方はお聴きください。

　・・・the ascent this week to the top of the British music charts of a collection of songs by Vera Lynn, at 92 the oldest person to attain that artistic peak ? songs that first became popular in World War II, known probably as much to American service personnel based in Britain at that time as to the British themselves.・・・
　Best-known among Vera Lynn’s songs were “We’ll Meet Again”
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cHcunREYzNY　（太田）
and “The White Cliffs of Dover,”
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UdGX_FcvVoE&feature=related　（太田）
offering a reminder that, in war, it is not only the troops in battle ・・・
　In “The White Cliffs of Dover,” Vera Lynn assured the nation that: “There’ll be love and laughter/And peace ever after/Tomorrow/When the world is free.”
　And in “We’ll Meet Again,” she conjured the end of those long absences when a simple telegram could bear tidings of the ultimate loss: “We’ll meet again/Don’t know where/Don’t know when/But I know we’ll meet again/Some sunny day.” ・・・
　There are faint similarities. Britain, like America and other allies, is again at war. Counting from the beginnings in 2001 of the current conflict in Afghanistan and the invasion of Iraq in 2003, troops have been deployed in battle for longer -- though with far few casualties -- than in all the years of World War II, from Germany’s invasion of Poland in 1939 (also recalled this month on its 70th anniversary) to the defeat of Germany and Japan in 1945.
　In excruciatingly relative terms, Britain also faces the same hardship as others in a world struggling to shrug off recession. ・・・
　Vera Lynn last topped the charts in 1952 in the aftermath of those same austere days. ・・・
　“Lovely tunes have been out of favor for some time,” the columnist Michele Hanson wrote in The Guardian. “It’s been all screeching, thumping, rapping, crashing rage and multi-decibels, but not much melody and modulation（抑揚）, so perhaps we need a bit of a change.”
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/09/19/world/europe/19iht-letter.html?_r=1&pagewanted=print

　英国にとっては、現在は、先の大戦中から戦後直後にかけての時代と似通ってるんですね。
　似通っていないと思い込んでる、ノーテンキな日本人の諸君、せめてポップスで melody and modulation、社会で a bit of a change くらいは追求してくれよな。

　日本の医療行政、保健行政は及第点では、と（コラム#3536で）書いたばかりですが、米国人の平均寿命の短さは、国民皆保険を達成していない医療行政のせいではないとする記事が出てました。↓
　超カンタンに言えば、米国人の平均寿命の短さは、比較的最近まで米国人の喫煙率が先進国中最も高かったためだというのです。
　もっとも、米国の保健行政には、少なくとも遜色がありそうですが・・。
http://www.nytimes.com/2009/09/22/science/22tier.html?hpw=&pagewanted=print

　一見荒唐無稽に見えても、こういう思考実験を行うことは重要です。↓

　Goldman Sachs projected that given North Korea's potential, a unified Korea will in 30-40 years be on a par with or overtake G7 countries except the U.S. in dollar GDP.・・・
　A combination of South Korea's technology and funds and North Korea's resources and workforce would be a powerful force, the report said.
　It speculates that the reunification of the two Koreas will proceed in three stages: transition (2012-2027), integration (2028-2037) and maturity (2038-2050).
　 A unified Korea will follow the China/Hong Kong reunification model, which allows two political and economic systems to co-exist, rather than the German model, which envisages one side giving aid to the other, the bank speculates.
http://english.chosun.com/site/data/html_dir/2009/09/22/2009092200297.html

　エート、日本は車は左で歩行者は右だったっけ？↓

　Lee Young-soo sees a social revolution happening before his eyes: South Korea's fundamental shift to the right, a move that has many here fretting about a looming collision.
　It's not politics they're talking about, but walking in public.・・・
　In 1921, during the Japanese occupation, South Korea required both pedestrians and cars to stay left -- following the custom that still exists throughout Japan. Then, in 1946, under the U.S. military administration after World War II, South Korea moved vehicles to the right but left pedestrians where they were.・・・
http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/world/la-fg-korea-walkers21-2009sep21,0,6468681,print.story
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太田述正コラム#3539（2009.9.22）
＜よみがえるケインズ（その３）＞

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